What the model saw at kickoff
We will add a sourced win probability when a reputable model publishes one. We do not manufacture percentages or quietly convert sportsbook odds into predictions.
How the matchup actually played out
Postgame roundup
The fast read
- BYU finished with a 14-point margin, 24-10.
- The Cougars produced 506 total yards to 200 for Iowa State.
- The turnover ledger finished BYU 1, Iowa State 0.
Game leaders
- Iowa St. · Passing YardsJaylen Raynor16/29, 98 YDS, 1 TD
- BYU · Passing YardsBear Bachmeier22/30, 329 YDS, 2 TD
- Iowa St. · Rushing YardsAiden Flora17 CAR, 86 YDS, 0 TD
- BYU · Rushing YardsBear Bachmeier9 CAR, 109 YDS, 0 TD
- Iowa St. · Receiving YardsTy Claiborne3 REC, 31 YDS, 0 TD
- BYU · Receiving YardsLegend Glasker5 REC, 99 YDS, 1 TD
Postgame clips
Official BYU channelWe link to the publisher’s clip page rather than copying or re-hosting footage.
Data desk
Schedule facts, final scores, and official box-score statistics come from BYU Athletics and its embedded WMT statistics platform. Highlight links come from BYU Athletics’ official YouTube channel when available. Analysis and presentation are original to BYU Sport Nuts.
Data snapshot updated Oct 16, 2026, 7:32 AM. Scores and source feeds can be corrected after publication; see our corrections policy.
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